沒中傳說的補償機制 - 爐石戰記

By Rae
at 2016-09-24T00:12
at 2016-09-24T00:12
Table of Contents
※ 引述《Hearthstone (爐石)》之銘言:
: 想請問一下
: 如果連續很多包沒有中傳說
: 官方會不會讓之後中傳說的機率提高
: 有聽過另一個說法
: 也是會有這種補償機制
: 但有可能補償的不是傳說
: 而是史詩
: 等於說抽到史詩後
: 中傳說的機率又被重置了
: 想請問各位
: 這種說法是真的嗎
: 不知道有沒有人統計過
爬文就會有答案了
底下推文也有人貼代碼
但很明顯還是一堆人懶得爬一直問或作奇怪的結論
總之懶人包就是
有國外的人開15000包做實驗,得到結果如下
1.開到傳說的機率有個初始值
2.你每次沒開到傳說,都會增加你下次開到傳說的機率
3.當你連續三十九包沒開到傳說,此時機率會累積到100%,也就是說第40包肯定會有
4.每當你開到傳說,你開到傳說的機率會回到初使值
5.不同卡包分開計算的,請放心開
6.一包一包開跟一次開四十包是一樣的,請放心開
7.有換過伺服器可能會失準
結論:對於不會換伺服器的人,你就隨便亂開就好了
備註:此結論為當時的版本,並不一定適用於當時之前的版本,也不一定有沿用到當前版本
但就我個人開卡包經驗,我覺得目前就是這麼一回事
--
: 想請問一下
: 如果連續很多包沒有中傳說
: 官方會不會讓之後中傳說的機率提高
: 有聽過另一個說法
: 也是會有這種補償機制
: 但有可能補償的不是傳說
: 而是史詩
: 等於說抽到史詩後
: 中傳說的機率又被重置了
: 想請問各位
: 這種說法是真的嗎
: 不知道有沒有人統計過
爬文就會有答案了
底下推文也有人貼代碼
但很明顯還是一堆人懶得爬一直問或作奇怪的結論
總之懶人包就是
有國外的人開15000包做實驗,得到結果如下
1.開到傳說的機率有個初始值
2.你每次沒開到傳說,都會增加你下次開到傳說的機率
3.當你連續三十九包沒開到傳說,此時機率會累積到100%,也就是說第40包肯定會有
4.每當你開到傳說,你開到傳說的機率會回到初使值
5.不同卡包分開計算的,請放心開
6.一包一包開跟一次開四十包是一樣的,請放心開
7.有換過伺服器可能會失準
結論:對於不會換伺服器的人,你就隨便亂開就好了
備註:此結論為當時的版本,並不一定適用於當時之前的版本,也不一定有沿用到當前版本
但就我個人開卡包經驗,我覺得目前就是這麼一回事
--
Tags:
爐石
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