威傅遲來的心得 T7獵更正T2抽到背刺機率 - 爐石戰記

By Iris
at 2015-09-02T21:55

Table of Contents

1 0.06666667
2 0.13103448
3 0.19310345
4 0.25287357
5 0.31034482
6 0.36551723
7 0.4183908
8 0.46896553
9 0.51724136
10 0.56321836
11 0.6068966
12 0.64827585
13 0.68735635
14 0.72413796
15 0.7586207
16 0.7908046
17 0.8206897
18 0.8482759
19 0.87356323
20 0.8965517
21 0.91724133
22 0.93563217
23 0.9517242
24 0.9655172
25 0.9770115
26 0.9862069
27 0.99310344
28 0.99770117
29 1.0
30 1.0

T2有的機率是1-(1-0.193)*(1-0.310)=44%左右

謝謝板友的指教原文已改正

上圖由Pinpingho提供

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Tags: 爐石

All Comments

By Connor
at 2015-09-04T18:30

喔

By Ingrid
at 2015-09-05T01:33

數據推

By Hamiltion
at 2015-09-05T10:29

喔

By Liam
at 2015-09-09T03:59

你可以編輯...

By Bethany
at 2015-09-10T21:57

不水桶?

By Dinah
at 2015-09-15T06:13

威富爆氣了>_<

By Rosalind
at 2015-09-19T00:53

應該是改標題吧，t2抽特定牌(背刺/戰斧/...)的機率

By Carol
at 2015-09-23T02:51

就是有這種人玩獵人才要低調

By Kyle
at 2015-09-25T16:19

我也覺得改標題比較好

By Blanche
at 2015-09-27T14:49

推專業

By Frederic
at 2015-09-30T15:08

機率其實有算錯對手先手到T2沒背刺的機率應該是

By Caroline
at 2015-10-02T19:46

(C28取3/C30取3)*(C25取3/C27取3)*25/27*24/26=54.2
%

By Frederic
at 2015-10-03T11:36

換牌有可能換回同一張

By Callum
at 2015-10-06T17:27

回樓上我這是有被刺的機率

By Brianna
at 2015-10-10T10:23

精算師

By Vanessa
at 2015-10-14T20:25

推機率分析文我有問題 TGT之後T7獵要放照明彈嗎

By Elvira
at 2015-10-17T15:04

對傷害的影響如何還能30水晶30傷嗎

By Jacob
at 2015-10-22T08:08

情報爐石

By Sandy
at 2015-10-26T14:51

二哥專業

By Valerie
at 2015-10-30T18:28

這篇應該是不考慮換牌, 對方先手第二回合有背刺機率

By Ophelia
at 2015-11-02T21:52

我用超幾何分配算的機率是31.03%

By Kristin
at 2015-11-06T18:04

X~Hyper(5,2,30) P(X>0)

By Harry
at 2015-11-11T04:57

我算的跟原PO表列的一樣，照理說是T2是看5那列的機
率吧?　怎麼又自己多加了個公式?

By Ingrid
at 2015-11-15T04:19

先手T2有五張手牌看第五列,後手T2六張手牌看第六列

By William
at 2015-11-18T11:39

44趴是有考慮換牌的結果

By Rae
at 2015-11-23T10:40

二哥威能五弟靠二哥carry~~~

By Damian
at 2015-11-27T21:39

可以算一下沒有特定牌就全換的每輪機率

By Irma
at 2015-12-01T20:39

算這衝三小?

By Zenobia
at 2015-12-05T00:53

喔喔原來有算換牌,我算的機率是44.35%,會錯意了@@

By Zanna
at 2015-12-08T20:10

請問原PO 這張表是什麼呀純粹好奇

By Genevieve
at 2015-12-11T20:54

回樓上,不考慮換牌,在手牌有幾張的時候,抽到至少一
張目標牌(共兩張)的機率是多少

By Delia
at 2015-12-16T02:27

感謝樓上大大~~

By Regina
at 2015-12-16T07:46

用統計超幾何分配來解釋原PO算法,X~Hyper(4,2,30)
Y~Hyper(3,2,30),Z~Hyper(1,2,26),先手T2至少一張背

By Daph Bay
at 2015-12-17T21:05

刺機率(考慮全換)=[P(X>0)+P(X=0)*P(Y>0)]+
[1-P(X>0)-P(X=0)*P(Y>0)]*P(Z=1)~=44.35%

By Bethany
at 2015-12-18T11:50

X代表T1抽到幾張,Y代表全換到幾張,Z代表T2是否抽到

By Hedda
at 2015-12-19T11:10

恩...寫完就想睡了XD 我真無聊阿...

By Annie
at 2015-12-22T06:49

麻煩加個說明好嗎，感恩

By Ula
at 2015-12-26T02:56

台灣省Pinpingho

By Olive
at 2015-12-27T16:51

為嘴而嘴的傢伙吵死了

By Tracy
at 2015-12-28T08:05

誰？

By Olga
at 2015-12-29T23:36

有人可以閒閒沒事算算天胡德的機率嗎

By Aaliyah
at 2016-01-01T22:17

可是我盜賊遇到獵人t1都直接下南海水手可以幫我算t
1盜賊下水手的機率嗎

威傅遲來的心得 T7獵更正T2抽到背刺機率 - 爐石戰記

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威傅 遲來的心得 T7獵 更正T2抽到背刺機率 - 爐石戰記

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