Xixo正在亞服實況SPEED RUN爬梯中 - 爐石戰記

By Hardy
at 2015-02-05T20:00

Table of Contents

剛剛戰士打xixo的獵人最後一手我覺得有討論空間由於我機率不太好想請版上大大算看看
==============================================================================

戰士(這局沒贏就死) 手拿4/1死亡之噬
3/5肚肚(可攻擊) 炸彈(不可攻) 爆爆博士(不可攻) 炸彈(不可攻)

------------------------------------------------------------------------------

2/1麻瘋地精 4/2祕法魔像

獵人血量10

==============================================================================

case1.肚肚打魔像死亡之噬砍臉賭兩個炸彈合計6點以上贏

case2.肚肚打臉死亡之噬打臉賭兩個炸臉三點以上或是一個炸三點以上

剛剛對手是選1然後最後沒炸死不過我感覺2的機率好像比較高一些?

有人能解惑嗎

--

Tags: 爐石

All Comments

By George
at 2015-02-07T09:16

刀子噴了就只有一個炸彈能爆

By Victoria
at 2015-02-08T22:06

建議樓上重看題目

By Yedda
at 2015-02-12T01:29

不對噴了炸彈會爆SOR

By Tracy
at 2015-02-16T21:31

1炸彈打密法 1炸彈打臉再來肚肚武器打臉一定贏

By Regina
at 2015-02-20T11:04

喔炸彈都不能打喔那算了

By Megan
at 2015-02-20T23:21

case2吧兩顆都炸臉的話比較好贏沒炸臉也跟1差不多

By Erin
at 2015-02-22T22:38

沒算但是1會比較高才是，畢竟3/7

By Ida
at 2015-02-24T15:52

用高中程度數學算是CASE2機會比較大

By Skylar DavisLinda
at 2015-02-27T10:09

2的話炸彈要先炸到臉(1/3) 還要3點以上(1/2)
case2 怪還活著吧

By Zora
at 2015-02-28T14:29

2的機會比較大

By Margaret
at 2015-03-04T01:47

阿然後會死一隻地精所以1/2

By Lucy
at 2015-03-08T03:05

case1 臉傷4+(2~8)=6~12 case2 臉傷7+(1~4)=8~11
算完線也燒完了

By Bethany
at 2015-03-11T01:02

沒算錯的話，應該是1:1/4 2:33/64

By Ingrid
at 2015-03-13T07:12

傷害1~4機率一樣的話兩顆炸6點以上只有6/16

By Hazel
at 2015-03-13T12:41

case2還有可能炸彈全打臉

By Adele
at 2015-03-17T00:25

我果然有算錯( ′_>`)

By Edwina
at 2015-03-19T06:57

我忘記地精會被轉死

By James
at 2015-03-24T02:09

Case1就是睹兩個加起來大於等於6 只有33 43 34 44
總共有4*4種可能所以 4 / 4*4 = 1/4

By Suhail Hany
at 2015-03-24T18:08

Case2要炸臉+兩個加起來大於等於3

By Kelly
at 2015-03-28T02:27

我選1比較安全比較保障下回合

By Belly
at 2015-03-31T20:03

沒有下回合啦

By Franklin
at 2015-04-03T11:58

第一種1顆炸1顆不炸 1/2 * 1/2 再乘炸3或4點 2/4
共1/4 * 1/2 = 1/8

By Sandy
at 2015-04-06T03:00

忘了乘選炸彈所以 2 * 1/8 = 1/4
第二種2顆炸臉 1/2 * 1/2 再乘加起來大於等於3

By Ophelia
at 2015-04-08T07:04

2的機會大一點
不過那戰士前面吃了他好多場了XD 凱贊MVP

By Michael
at 2015-04-11T03:35

第一種33 43 34 44 24 42 都能死哦

By Emily
at 2015-04-13T06:33

只有1+1不行機率 1 - (1 / 4 * 4) = 15/16

By Jacob
at 2015-04-16T08:22

共 1/4 * 15/16 = 15/64

By Andy
at 2015-04-20T19:12

抱歉計錯了QQ 是 6 / 4*4 = 3/8
第一種 3/8 = 0.375 第二種 15/64 = 0.234375

By Olga
at 2015-04-23T04:31

樓上哪那麼麻煩一顆炸彈傷害期望值就是2.5

By Zora
at 2015-04-25T10:51

case1 兩顆要炸6很明顯比期望值高表示機率小於50%

By Dorothy
at 2015-04-25T21:15

case2 兩顆都炸臉還炸不死的機率超低視同50%炸死

By Blanche
at 2015-04-30T18:07

太蠢了又計錯 case2共 1/4 + 15/64 = 31/64

By Oscar
at 2015-05-01T15:40

你這低於50%是怎麼算出來的...無法交流

By Hedda
at 2015-05-06T03:45

我知道了選3 武器打魔像

By Caitlin
at 2015-05-07T09:39

case1: 3/32 = 9.375% case2: 47/144 = 32.64%

By Joseph
at 2015-05-08T02:13

開始想把時間龍放進牌組裡了

By Ursula
at 2015-05-08T08:41

別算啦 Xixo傳說#3了

By Kyle
at 2015-05-10T20:00

K大 31/64已經很接近50%了光是兩顆都要打臉就1/4了

By David
at 2015-05-12T15:15

其實不會是1/4吧? 因為魔像剩1血打到，另一顆必打臉

By Candice
at 2015-05-14T17:01

明明就是1/2....

By Lily
at 2015-05-17T06:09

還是說你有看過被炸彈炸死還鞭屍的?

By Erin
at 2015-05-21T13:15

1/3吧XD? 兩顆炸彈有顆先發動，另一顆有三種情況

By Cara
at 2015-05-25T19:02

我算錯了漏考慮好多..

By Hedwig
at 2015-05-26T15:20

漏東漏西的還是別獻醜了抱歉 ORZ

By Ursula
at 2015-05-29T22:54

case2 39/64?

By Jack
at 2015-06-01T17:59

說1/3的比說1/4的更怪............................

By Elvira
at 2015-06-03T18:18

AMAZ對XIXO爬到亞服傳說3感到驚嚇XD

By Eartha
at 2015-06-05T16:31

單純分AB炸彈 A炸魔像 B必炸臉，A炸臉B有魔像或臉

By Hedda
at 2015-06-10T14:19

他太機車了要10hr爬到傳說才訂閱他

By Olga
at 2015-06-15T13:03

3/8 = 37.5% 跟 39/64 = 60.94% ?

By Kama
at 2015-06-17T17:13

A炸魔像B炸臉跟A炸臉B炸魔像對於傷害計算有什麼差別

By Dinah
at 2015-06-18T14:39

後者如果炸臉死了遊戲不是就結束了?

By Lydia
at 2015-06-22T11:35

前者 B還有1/2(3.4傷害) 才能炸死

By Carol
at 2015-06-22T22:32

你要不要算一下case2炸不死的機率

By Wallis
at 2015-06-23T22:31

吃一顆的死亡機率是50% 又必吃一顆只要再加上兩顆

By Rae
at 2015-06-28T08:59

整體我算炸死的機會是62.5%

By Lily
at 2015-06-30T00:52

直覺就是2

By Jacky
at 2015-07-04T22:06

mathstone

By Damian
at 2015-07-07T16:44

怎看都是二吧

By Tristan Cohan
at 2015-07-08T23:22

沒算錯的話 case1:9/24. case2:11/24

By Xanthe
at 2015-07-13T11:32

case2 一定大於50%的~

By Charlotte
at 2015-07-15T04:25

第一案3/8 第二案1/2

By Edith
at 2015-07-17T16:06

對阿
所以我上面就有簡易判斷了

By Sarah
at 2015-07-18T04:39

不對第二是9/16

By Jacky
at 2015-07-21T07:31

等…代錯11/16XD 我快亂了

By Gary
at 2015-07-25T01:41

糟糕我case2算錯了應該是15/32

By Megan
at 2015-07-26T20:54

對也忘了算第二顆炸魔像少乘1/2 那應該下修19/32

By Carolina Franco
at 2015-07-27T16:47

方法2贏的機率39/64

By Eartha
at 2015-07-29T14:15

我算打臉 = 49/64 ; 打魔像 = 3/8 = 24/64

By Olive
at 2015-07-31T19:48

39(握手)

By Christine
at 2015-08-01T02:22

-------------以上高中機率全部重修---------------

By Olivia
at 2015-08-05T19:33

我明明有算對助教你改錯了

Xixo正在亞服實況SPEED RUN爬梯中 - 爐石戰記

All Comments

Related Posts

小Ｄ現在有bug？

戰士競技場三張超實用傳說請教

OO實況台亞服競技場

Forfun 午間競技場

2/7「台北」爐邊聚會-動桌遊