Re: 發牌測試程式 - 撲克牌
By Liam
at 2008-03-18T21:31
at 2008-03-18T21:31
Table of Contents
※ 引述《goopa (除此之外)》之銘言：
: 標題: Re: 發牌測試程式
: 時間: Tue Mar 18 14:57:20 2008
:
: : 推 littlebanban:http://www.pokerhand.org/?2286907再來一手.BB 03/18 10:14
:
: 我覺得這手牌那位 Poly_Baller 打的很合理....
: 因為他是button，這手牌算是really uses the position...
: 當手持 AA 的那位在flop撞到A時，他bet差不多 1/2 pot算是一種邀請...
: 但 Poly_Baller 即使對到任意set依然有 11個outs獲勝...
: 大約是46%左右的勝率，考慮到pot的大小，他無論是call或是reraise all in...
: 他的期望值都是正的，所以如果想打硬一點，先推先贏也是很合理的，但蓋掉也不能說錯
: 推 eople:第一把算錯了吧 Td Jd 勝率只有33％ 跟all in買順一樣 03/18 16:53
這把牌是這樣的...
Button的手牌是同花小連張 Td Jd...
SB的手牌是AA
而flop開出的是 Ad 7d 9c
所以說處於落後的button要逆轉的情況有...
跑出8張方塊，或是跑出4張8(扣掉方塊8)......
但我忘了扣方塊9(會變成葫蘆)
所以一共是10個outs，不是11個outs....
然後turn跟river可以抽兩次....
簡單的算法是 10/47 + 10/46 = 43%
在勝率43%的情況下，雖然call或是reraise allin的期望值都是正的....
但考量到如果僅僅是call的話，應該沒法連做兩次抽牌....
(因為turn如果沒有跑出那10個outs，對手再bet就應該fold了)
所以這把牌 button 要嘛是reraise allin，要嘛是fold on the flop....
這兩個決定都不能說錯，主要是看個人考量....
--
: 標題: Re: 發牌測試程式
: 時間: Tue Mar 18 14:57:20 2008
:
: : 推 littlebanban:http://www.pokerhand.org/?2286907再來一手.BB 03/18 10:14
:
: 我覺得這手牌那位 Poly_Baller 打的很合理....
: 因為他是button，這手牌算是really uses the position...
: 當手持 AA 的那位在flop撞到A時，他bet差不多 1/2 pot算是一種邀請...
: 但 Poly_Baller 即使對到任意set依然有 11個outs獲勝...
: 大約是46%左右的勝率，考慮到pot的大小，他無論是call或是reraise all in...
: 他的期望值都是正的，所以如果想打硬一點，先推先贏也是很合理的，但蓋掉也不能說錯
: 推 eople:第一把算錯了吧 Td Jd 勝率只有33％ 跟all in買順一樣 03/18 16:53
這把牌是這樣的...
Button的手牌是同花小連張 Td Jd...
SB的手牌是AA
而flop開出的是 Ad 7d 9c
所以說處於落後的button要逆轉的情況有...
跑出8張方塊，或是跑出4張8(扣掉方塊8)......
但我忘了扣方塊9(會變成葫蘆)
所以一共是10個outs，不是11個outs....
然後turn跟river可以抽兩次....
簡單的算法是 10/47 + 10/46 = 43%
在勝率43%的情況下，雖然call或是reraise allin的期望值都是正的....
但考量到如果僅僅是call的話，應該沒法連做兩次抽牌....
(因為turn如果沒有跑出那10個outs，對手再bet就應該fold了)
所以這把牌 button 要嘛是reraise allin，要嘛是fold on the flop....
這兩個決定都不能說錯，主要是看個人考量....
--
Tags:
撲克牌
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