預測今年中職紫卡投手 - 線上
By Iris 
at 2019-09-13T15:22
at 2019-09-13T15:22
Table of Contents
投手部分相對好預測人數不多,也跟近幾年打高投低有關, 
也許中職可以像今年KBO,降低球的彈性係數,就能提升投手表現?
 
 
FIP常數MLB跟KBO都是用3.2,
它有一個公式可以算,KBO不曉得,MLB算起來約是3.2上下浮動
今年中職算起來是3.8上下浮動
 
 
陳鴻文
45場 5勝0敗4中繼18救援 47局 ERA1.72 WHIP0.91 FIP3.23
以FIP來看很難出紫,但邦是四隊裡唯一只有3紫牛,
只要20SV+ERA2以內,相信黑椒會邦忙
 
 
李振昌
41場 2勝1敗2中繼6救援 40局 ERA1.57 WHIP0.90 FIP2.13
FIP有符合,但救援跟局數少了一點,
如果有10救援+45~48局,應該是沒問題?
 
 
先發投手全部槓龜,原本黑人索沙有機會單季20勝,
但他只投半季就回鍋KBO,羅力FIP3.59不夠低
 
今年如果做卡FIP參考比重高的話,
只有CCL、肥刀、凱文、老虎、老皮跟小文會是紅卡,
王躍霖(ERA3.74 FIP4.77)大概一半一半,
另外劉軒荅很有趣(ERA4.7 FIP6.38)
 
--
    也許中職可以像今年KBO,降低球的彈性係數,就能提升投手表現?
FIP常數MLB跟KBO都是用3.2,
它有一個公式可以算,KBO不曉得,MLB算起來約是3.2上下浮動
今年中職算起來是3.8上下浮動
陳鴻文
45場 5勝0敗4中繼18救援 47局 ERA1.72 WHIP0.91 FIP3.23
以FIP來看很難出紫,但邦是四隊裡唯一只有3紫牛,
只要20SV+ERA2以內,相信黑椒會邦忙
李振昌
41場 2勝1敗2中繼6救援 40局 ERA1.57 WHIP0.90 FIP2.13
FIP有符合,但救援跟局數少了一點,
如果有10救援+45~48局,應該是沒問題?
先發投手全部槓龜,原本黑人索沙有機會單季20勝,
但他只投半季就回鍋KBO,羅力FIP3.59不夠低
今年如果做卡FIP參考比重高的話,
只有CCL、肥刀、凱文、老虎、老皮跟小文會是紅卡,
王躍霖(ERA3.74 FIP4.77)大概一半一半,
另外劉軒荅很有趣(ERA4.7 FIP6.38)
--
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