計算色違的比例 - PokemonGO

By Rebecca
at 2018-02-24T19:19

Table of Contents

今天大量而且兩倍時間的迷你龍日

想順便計算一下總共色違的出現比例

如果數字夠大或許可以接近真實機率

像我抓了430隻有13隻是色違

可以請大家提供真實而非體感的數字嗎？

-----
更新
統計到2/25 00:25為止共46344隻迷你龍有 2139隻色違
以excel畫出的分布圖是這樣子 https://imgur.com/2pvOEYK.jpg

算出來的概率是 4.31

其中個人抓到機率最高的前三名是 (30隻以下不列入計算)
100隻抓20隻共20.0% 的pikachu025大大
221隻抓32隻共14.5% 的 a95540163大大
33隻抓 4隻共12.1% 的 hylllan大大

有人抓200隻抓到32隻，也有人抓差不多數目只抓到3隻、5隻

回歸線是顯示出整體的趨勢跟離散值的分布區間

--

Tags: PokemonGO

All Comments

By Eden
at 2018-02-27T17:57

By Bennie
at 2018-03-02T09:18

4/150

By Kristin
at 2018-03-04T02:24

200吧6隻..之前糖果好幾千中魚消耗了所以我都點怪

By Zenobia
at 2018-03-07T15:58

7/154

By Sarah
at 2018-03-08T17:19

低CP得我才抓...500以上就算了

By Hedwig
at 2018-03-12T00:24

17/370

By Zora
at 2018-03-12T16:29

2/113

By Dora
at 2018-03-16T19:21

12/200

By Mary
at 2018-03-17T13:08

10/200左右

By Caitlin
at 2018-03-21T04:16

9/200

By Cara
at 2018-03-25T16:23

9/213

By Valerie
at 2018-03-27T06:45

8/200

By Brianna
at 2018-04-01T04:11

50中4

By Kumar
at 2018-04-04T07:30

2/106

By Ina
at 2018-04-04T22:37

27/516

By Lucy
at 2018-04-07T20:13

9/210

By Elizabeth
at 2018-04-11T04:11

20/100

By Damian
at 2018-04-13T15:23

22/332

By Margaret
at 2018-04-17T10:32

25/430

By Puput
at 2018-04-19T17:21

12/125

By Freda
at 2018-04-21T09:19

4/75 運氣頗好

By Daph Bay
at 2018-04-23T13:43

6/150

By Zora
at 2018-04-27T22:17

3/150左右

By Olivia
at 2018-04-28T14:05

23/355

By Hedy
at 2018-04-29T14:16

5/53

By Gilbert
at 2018-05-02T21:13

6/200

By Liam
at 2018-05-05T00:37

7/130

By Quanna
at 2018-05-08T17:12

8/220

By Audriana
at 2018-05-13T11:51

7/205

By Xanthe
at 2018-05-17T21:32

8/150

By Regina
at 2018-05-22T11:57

7/81

By Enid
at 2018-05-25T01:38

10/226

By Joseph
at 2018-05-25T17:54

14/220

By Rebecca
at 2018-05-25T21:11

10左右/300

By Kyle
at 2018-05-29T06:18

5/157

By Sierra Rose
at 2018-06-01T04:39

7/104

By Jake
at 2018-06-04T09:30

想借這裡問一下：大家會刪色違嗎?有幾隻二位數的小龍想刪

By Jake
at 2018-06-04T18:00

24/430

By Rachel
at 2018-06-09T03:13

200多有6-7隻

By Victoria
at 2018-06-13T23:44

1/60

By Ophelia
at 2018-06-17T10:48

3/130

By Dorothy
at 2018-06-20T21:38

8/200多

By Ina
at 2018-06-25T18:20

1/80

By Gilbert
at 2018-06-26T08:18

10/410

By Donna
at 2018-06-28T01:22

8/176

By Agnes
at 2018-06-28T08:30

五隻留三隻，一隻進化快龍，一隻哈克龍，都不是高等高IV

By Oscar
at 2018-07-02T16:40

8/201

By Jacky
at 2018-07-03T04:46

4/200

By Lauren
at 2018-07-04T12:54

12/250

By Jacky
at 2018-07-05T00:08

8/196

By Delia
at 2018-07-08T18:04

16/404

By Hamiltion
at 2018-07-10T02:08

7/88

By Hamiltion
at 2018-07-10T09:28

同二樓 4/150

By Rachel
at 2018-07-13T01:44

7/150

By Todd Johnson
at 2018-07-15T02:40

1/3

By Delia
at 2018-07-17T14:31

大概3%左右

By Hedwig
at 2018-07-19T11:25

13/230

By Hamiltion
at 2018-07-22T01:44

4/209

By Isabella
at 2018-07-24T03:23

到emily大為止，468/10250 = 4.57%

By Sarah
at 2018-07-26T11:02

8/400

By Olivia
at 2018-07-31T08:46

19/392

By Edward Lewis
at 2018-08-02T21:40

7/120

By Puput
at 2018-08-04T01:58

7/285

By Daniel
at 2018-08-08T22:33

4/33

By Joseph
at 2018-08-09T03:48

7/148

By Doris
at 2018-08-11T07:36

5/96

By Callum
at 2018-08-11T08:44

6/184

By Edith
at 2018-08-13T12:55

8/200

By Enid
at 2018-08-15T08:27

1/17

By Hazel
at 2018-08-17T13:40

7/(150~200),沒記抓多少

By Gary
at 2018-08-22T07:16

16 / ( 279 + 2 )

By Enid
at 2018-08-25T04:53

19/350

By Megan
at 2018-08-29T03:15

8/170

By Gary
at 2018-08-30T17:15

5/6X

By Ula
at 2018-09-04T04:31

4/141

By Rae
at 2018-09-06T00:33

11/434，比例好像偏低

By Belly
at 2018-09-09T12:32

9/300

By Catherine
at 2018-09-13T20:14

9/215

By Thomas
at 2018-09-15T10:27

5/140

By Annie
at 2018-09-19T18:56

7/230

By Ula
at 2018-09-19T22:04

沒抓到色違的也會來推文的話會比較準吧

By Skylar DavisLinda
at 2018-09-21T18:20

7/150

By Ula
at 2018-09-26T06:22

0/76 超慘 (16隻倒數)龍系金牌

By Lauren
at 2018-09-26T21:20

0/77

By Necoo
at 2018-09-28T12:10

1/50

By Lily
at 2018-09-28T22:44

6/63

By Eden
at 2018-10-02T19:35

0/1X

By Puput
at 2018-10-03T03:28

期間拿到龍系金牌262 都沒遇到色違T.T

By Caitlin
at 2018-10-04T01:15

2/88

By Gary
at 2018-10-07T03:42

18/250抓到一堆發霉泥鰍 = =

By Joe
at 2018-10-08T00:55

4/108

By Puput
at 2018-10-10T20:15

14/166

By Faithe
at 2018-10-14T17:00

8/100,幫moai大QQ

By Mason
at 2018-10-17T14:14

9／200

By Frederica
at 2018-10-22T09:56

By Christine
at 2018-10-22T12:50

3/66

By Liam
at 2018-10-23T15:11

我沒用薰香就幾乎沒抓到，用薰香後出現率高很多

By Andy
at 2018-10-26T15:57

2/80 捉到第63才第1隻色違，第二隻是最後壓秒抓（還好
有抓到

By Liam
at 2018-10-31T07:51

9/239 慘

By Donna
at 2018-11-03T08:42

6/110

By Regina
at 2018-11-04T03:26

3/111 最後一隻剛好也是色違

By Callum
at 2018-11-06T06:58

10/150

By Doris
at 2018-11-08T10:58

5/150

By Vanessa
at 2018-11-11T22:48

8/170

By Donna
at 2018-11-14T17:14

32/221

By Genevieve
at 2018-11-16T18:41

2/ 60

By Ingrid
at 2018-11-18T22:35

7/170

By Harry
at 2018-11-23T11:04

9/150

By Victoria
at 2018-11-25T03:23

2/71

By Mary
at 2018-11-29T07:50

16/200左右

By Dora
at 2018-11-30T08:31

10/170

By Agatha
at 2018-12-05T05:08

11/237

By Kumar
at 2018-12-06T10:14

5/89

By Kumar
at 2018-12-10T18:23

16/289

By William
at 2018-12-14T20:23

12/225

By Edwina
at 2018-12-15T07:13

13/240

By Hedda
at 2018-12-20T05:38

4/200

By Oscar
at 2018-12-22T08:16

10/270左右

By Ula
at 2018-12-23T17:29

1/133

By Genevieve
at 2018-12-26T03:31

4/57

By Carol
at 2018-12-26T17:22

5/242 臉有點黑XD

By Necoo
at 2018-12-28T11:10

17/300

By Madame
at 2018-12-30T07:46

7/117

By Elma
at 2019-01-01T11:15

8/279

By Ethan
at 2019-01-05T19:30

13/430
啊，錯了，是13/340才對

By Poppy
at 2019-01-09T18:14

5/133

By Agnes
at 2019-01-13T07:44

14/217

By Sarah
at 2019-01-15T22:01

9/300

By Zora
at 2019-01-20T19:09

18/271

By Carolina Franco
at 2019-01-21T18:19

20/462

By Bethany
at 2019-01-25T22:31

7/170

By Faithe
at 2019-01-28T14:50

5/152

By Poppy
at 2019-01-30T14:11

14/161

By Leila
at 2019-02-02T03:16

1/50

By Connor
at 2019-02-04T14:14

1/62

By Leila
at 2019-02-09T07:59

17/288

By Mason
at 2019-02-09T21:16

統計這個沒意義，活動已結束，數量太少

By Erin
at 2019-02-11T04:58

8/160

By Caroline
at 2019-02-13T12:12

10/280

By Oscar
at 2019-02-13T14:01

11/224

By Thomas
at 2019-02-17T16:21

30/588 算好久 ..總數應該對

By Gary
at 2019-02-22T00:44

5/103

By Hazel
at 2019-02-22T06:30

8/100左右

By Ivy
at 2019-02-26T04:33

14/200

By Caroline
at 2019-02-27T02:49

6/200

By Zenobia
at 2019-03-03T17:37

9/196

By Irma
at 2019-03-07T14:42

5/186

By Suhail Hany
at 2019-03-09T12:56

0/12X

By Andy
at 2019-03-11T17:27

11/274

By Regina
at 2019-03-11T19:23

1/18

By Elizabeth
at 2019-03-13T17:13

17/208

By Belly
at 2019-03-14T23:46

6/115

By Annie
at 2019-03-17T03:30

點第一隻沒抓，第二隻就遇到色違迷你龍。 https://i.img
ur.com/nD4om9j.jpg

By Adele
at 2019-03-21T16:30

6/195

By Anthony
at 2019-03-24T07:21

21/200左右

By Anthony
at 2019-03-24T13:09

1/25

By Thomas
at 2019-03-28T06:56

11/250左右

By David
at 2019-03-31T08:27

9/160(左右)

By Yuri
at 2019-04-04T23:57

https://i.imgur.com/6Hse4E4.jpg 22/488 (抓了20隻才

By Blanche
at 2019-04-07T08:28

開始記錄)

By Lauren
at 2019-04-10T12:25

14/150左右

By Hedy
at 2019-04-14T06:57

3/250

By Anthony
at 2019-04-17T05:32

13/220

By Rae
at 2019-04-18T12:36

5/160

By Eartha
at 2019-04-22T20:45

4/45

By Christine
at 2019-04-24T10:11

https://i.imgur.com/kn4bqn4.jpg 4點下班才開始抓 2
/6

By Megan
at 2019-04-27T10:32

我今天色違9/360……抓到怕抓到想吐 6hr太久

By Olga
at 2019-04-28T02:45

7/165

By Liam
at 2019-04-29T05:32

10/210

By Christine
at 2019-05-04T02:56

133/4色違

By Tom
at 2019-05-08T01:16

10/221

By Wallis
at 2019-05-09T08:07

2/25

By Frederic
at 2019-05-11T01:17

6/125

By Ingrid
at 2019-05-11T16:27

5/160

By Noah
at 2019-05-12T21:57

約11/200

By Catherine
at 2019-05-14T12:16

2/24

By Xanthe
at 2019-05-17T17:49

9/265

By Carol
at 2019-05-20T18:38

6/110

By Ophelia
at 2019-05-25T02:42

5/47 有一隻高iv算幸運了

By Xanthe
at 2019-05-28T22:46

7/297

By Irma
at 2019-05-30T09:19

4/79

By Enid
at 2019-05-30T21:32

3/28

By Jacob
at 2019-05-31T10:32

10/175

By Andy
at 2019-06-02T21:22

10/281

By Mary
at 2019-06-07T20:13

活動結束最後一隻剛好拿到金牌然後就沒有迷你龍出現
了XD

By Ophelia
at 2019-06-09T09:04

3/86

By Belly
at 2019-06-09T10:21

14/220

By Kama
at 2019-06-12T00:21

有抓到幾隻9xiv的（一隻色違92-93）覺得感激

By Dora
at 2019-06-14T05:23

抓了 310隻左右總共14隻色違

By Andrew
at 2019-06-17T10:35

3/50

By Elvira
at 2019-06-19T19:06

為什麼每個人的色違機率差這麼多，不是應該差不多嗎??

By Carolina Franco
at 2019-06-24T05:01

2/124，阿母運氣比較好130左右有8隻

By Thomas
at 2019-06-24T10:02

這樣令人懷疑不同帳號會不會有不同的標記，與課金有關?

By Olga
at 2019-06-24T23:25

沒關吧，我沒課金數量跟大家差不多

By Yuri
at 2019-06-29T08:35

6/122

By Joseph
at 2019-07-03T10:40

4/65

By Queena
at 2019-07-07T14:12

4/32

By Megan
at 2019-07-11T15:31

機率很低的東西在樣本數小的情況下，很可能會有突峰

By Eden
at 2019-07-15T17:13

7/150

By Caitlin
at 2019-07-16T00:19

1/85 衰到爆

By Ivy
at 2019-07-17T13:56

7/164

By Todd Johnson
at 2019-07-22T13:09

如果機率固定，每個人抓幾百隻，應該趨近於設定機率

By Zenobia
at 2019-07-23T20:33

10/200

By Leila
at 2019-07-26T12:59

10/220

By Skylar DavisLinda
at 2019-07-31T12:38

只抓幾十隻的人，機率才比較會有離群值吧

By Ophelia
at 2019-08-04T01:33

5/195

By Eden
at 2019-08-06T13:18

17/345

By Valerie
at 2019-08-07T15:06

1/5

By Mia
at 2019-08-11T17:12

17/313

By Tristan Cohan
at 2019-08-13T03:58

16/300

By Harry
at 2019-08-14T19:47

14/350

By Brianna
at 2019-08-17T13:55

22/404

By Isabella
at 2019-08-20T09:03

8/123

By Lydia
at 2019-08-24T13:33

4/149

By Eden
at 2019-08-25T01:35

6/102

By Mia
at 2019-08-29T21:09

16/220 大約220幾隻就用220計吧

By Ida
at 2019-08-30T00:39

5/110

By Yuri
at 2019-08-30T13:35

5/160

By Barb Cronin
at 2019-09-03T00:20

10/105

By Todd Johnson
at 2019-09-05T16:08

9/180

By Thomas
at 2019-09-06T13:36

11/125

By Ida
at 2019-09-06T16:28

今天睡醒已經過活動時間只抓到一隻就是色違..........

By Damian
at 2019-09-07T16:08

8/207

By Elma
at 2019-09-08T15:06

21/約300

By Charlotte
at 2019-09-11T08:34

3/155

By Hardy
at 2019-09-14T15:06

3/155

By Joe
at 2019-09-15T19:17

1/30

By Daph Bay
at 2019-09-17T10:57

6/88

By Michael
at 2019-09-21T01:40

3/54

By Noah
at 2019-09-24T19:51

1/ 100隻左右 @@

By Vanessa
at 2019-09-27T18:24

10/166

By Noah
at 2019-09-29T19:36

12/200

By Aaliyah
at 2019-09-30T08:18

4/156，5/103

By Lucy
at 2019-10-04T01:15

30隻一隻也沒有！

By Susan
at 2019-10-05T03:54

13/260

By Queena
at 2019-10-09T10:57

12/184 這次真有感

By Una
at 2019-10-13T01:13

2/34

By Ursula
at 2019-10-16T02:17

18/338 跟推文比一下感覺一般般

By Agnes
at 2019-10-18T03:16

8/227

By Rae
at 2019-10-19T15:25

20/404 但一開始卡卡時代漏抓的沒算到(錯誤26)

By Edward Lewis
at 2019-10-24T13:03

15/267

By Dora
at 2019-10-25T23:16

5/93

By Jack
at 2019-10-29T00:30

7/162

By Catherine
at 2019-10-29T20:52

100/6

By Eartha
at 2019-10-29T23:31

寫反了，6/100

By Jack
at 2019-11-03T16:34

7/168

By Caitlin
at 2019-11-08T14:24

12/200

By Tristan Cohan
at 2019-11-13T14:01

14/311

By Hedwig
at 2019-11-13T22:50

6/267

By Mia
at 2019-11-18T06:20

6/200

By Charlotte
at 2019-11-20T00:29

8/188

By Brianna
at 2019-11-24T03:01

9/150

By Heather
at 2019-11-24T17:24

1/151

By Valerie
at 2019-11-25T21:24

3/22 剛剛數了一下，我抓了一個小時才22隻.........我
還以為我抓很多隻

By Mia
at 2019-11-26T13:38

5/90

By Eden
at 2019-11-27T03:07

18/500

By Xanthe
at 2019-11-29T13:51

2/69，2趴多的色違捕獲率，臉好黑啊我

By Andrew
at 2019-12-01T12:10

6/320 超悲劇...

By Hazel
at 2019-12-03T01:20

7/150

By Zenobia
at 2019-12-07T23:10

7/208

By Delia
at 2019-12-09T13:41

1/22

By Doris
at 2019-12-12T05:21

開了個表單 https://goo.gl/forms/cMYzfs1VQq3kS3wD2

By Daph Bay
at 2019-12-16T08:20

8/178

By Elvira
at 2019-12-17T03:31

9/122

By Victoria
at 2019-12-20T07:34

5/125

By Ula
at 2019-12-20T18:57

4/80 剛好平均值

By Lydia
at 2019-12-21T13:29

8/243

By Emma
at 2019-12-22T20:15

13/252

By Rebecca
at 2019-12-26T23:05

8/150左右

By Suhail Hany
at 2019-12-29T01:17

8/185

By Heather
at 2019-12-30T15:20

4/44

By Thomas
at 2020-01-04T09:27

7/131

By Sandy
at 2020-01-05T15:08

13/200

By Damian
at 2020-01-09T19:53

4/89

By Damian
at 2020-01-12T01:15

10/169

By Tracy
at 2020-01-16T12:48

9/189

By Sarah
at 2020-01-18T17:18

9/197

By Eden
at 2020-01-19T14:13

14/350

By Quintina
at 2020-01-22T22:12

要怎麼知道今天抓了幾隻迷你龍???? 怎麼看????

By Kristin
at 2020-01-25T13:53

@clark3530 早上出門前看一下圖鑑的數量收工再看一次

By Todd Johnson
at 2020-01-28T11:34

11/1xx

By Steve
at 2020-02-02T01:21

378隻/14隻

By Selena
at 2020-02-04T03:50

那來不及了=_= 今天抓10隻色違

By Agnes
at 2020-02-06T02:08

8/121

By Sandy
at 2020-02-07T23:25

@clark3530 另外的方法是用日期排序並搜尋147 找出今天首抓

By Gilbert
at 2020-02-12T20:01

不過若中間有刪迷你龍的話，數字會有誤差

By Dorothy
at 2020-02-13T05:18

14/250

By Sandy
at 2020-02-16T10:32

這個統計有刪掉極端值嗎？

By Mason
at 2020-02-20T11:03

你可以從圖上看到極端值就是跟回歸線最遠的那些點

By Oliver
at 2020-02-23T07:08

4/20

By Ida
at 2020-02-25T14:17

2/60

By Mason
at 2020-02-26T02:32

4/140

By Valerie
at 2020-03-01T16:14

10 / 224

By Queena
at 2020-03-03T09:55

230/4 從1345之後抓到1700都沒碰到半隻...

By Charlie
at 2020-03-04T15:46

我自己是4.464%

By Adele
at 2020-03-06T20:02

4/140

By Kristin
at 2020-03-11T06:09

9/150

By Ina
at 2020-03-13T00:32

5/110

By Regina
at 2020-03-13T14:09

6/250

By Hedy
at 2020-03-17T17:39

3/156

By Regina
at 2020-03-22T15:03

15/343

By Annie
at 2020-03-26T05:43

441/14

By George
at 2020-03-27T16:19

1/147......

By Joe
at 2020-03-31T17:58

129/7色違

By Joseph
at 2020-04-04T15:26

紅的明顯大概是4/100，但我三隻連續的機率多大啊XD

By Kama
at 2020-04-08T04:24

1/73

By Sandy
at 2020-04-10T05:57

補推

By Noah
at 2020-04-11T15:38

13/280

By Candice
at 2020-04-14T17:26

4/200

By Kumar
at 2020-04-18T09:28

2/7

By Elizabeth
at 2020-04-20T11:15

連續色違

By Odelette
at 2020-04-20T18:25

5/106

By Tracy
at 2020-04-21T10:38

3/24

By Hamiltion
at 2020-04-23T17:17

9/133

By Queena
at 2020-04-26T21:41

14/150

By Rosalind
at 2020-04-29T02:18

4/163

By Hardy
at 2020-05-02T22:14

我5/96，友人9/98

By Jack
at 2020-05-06T07:16

16/173

By Zora
at 2020-05-09T12:42

8/155

By Susan
at 2020-05-13T13:23

2/80

By Donna
at 2020-05-14T19:42

8/252

By James
at 2020-05-18T11:41

3/90

By Eartha
at 2020-05-20T23:55

3/21

By Donna
at 2020-05-25T10:26

11/240

By Edith
at 2020-05-27T15:07

4/268

By Edwina
at 2020-05-29T12:17

2/88

By Madame
at 2020-06-02T02:42

14/356

By Caitlin
at 2020-06-04T16:55

9/200

By Mason
at 2020-06-09T12:56

https://tinyurl.com/y7b8sp62

計算色違的比例 - PokemonGO

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