衝耳環滑倒了,只好上來分享機率 - 天堂
By Skylar DavisLinda
at 2013-09-26T00:14
at 2013-09-26T00:14
Table of Contents
剛剛看到倉庫的羽巾累積了不少的量,想說無聊來點一點好了,
結果十分淒慘...
換了87個耳環沒有一個上+5。
下面分享自己統計的機率:
+0 ---> 87個
+1 ---> 62個 / +0點+1機率為71.264%,成功率約為7成。
+2 ---> 32個 / +1點+2機率為51.613%,成功率約為5成。
+3 ---> 9個 / +2點+3機率為28.125%,成功率約為3成。
+4 ---> 1個 / +3點+4由於樣本數已不足以構成統計學上之大樣本,故不列入參考。
+5 ---> 爆光 / 同上
( 炸光光就沒有拍圖片了=_= )
個人所在的伺服器(11火神),+0玉兔耳環的成交價都固定在150萬,
加上這次跟活動NPC兌換的飾品卷總共為87+62+32+9+1=191張
所以本次點耳環的成本為 : 150萬*87+10萬*191=14960萬 (天幣)
而本伺服器+5耳環的成交價從1億~1.5億天幣都有。
結論 : 淦,不如用買的。
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