渾沌捲 + 粉批 = ? - 楓之谷
By Rosalind
at 2009-09-10T23:53
at 2009-09-10T23:53
Table of Contents
有鑑於金蛋可以開到渾沌捲的活動,所以活動開始前收了幾件粉批
很難得的情況下得到了張渾沌捲,於是就開始考慮要不要點......
另外忘記從哪邊傳出來的消息,有衝過捲的裝備才能點詛咒捲
所以不清楚是不是第一張就可以直接點詛咒捲
不過看了前面的人的經驗,似乎是可以第一張就直接點的樣子......
於是本期的S.B.S. 就這樣開始囉!!! 不對,被尾大影響太深 = =
是討論開始了!!
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以下討論的情況是以藍寶的不專業價位討論,各伺服器有興趣可依價格作調整
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渾沌捲60%,是讓裝備的素質,隨機增加 -5 -4 -3 -2 ...... +4 +5
假假設 -5 -4 .... +4 +5 每種素質的機率相等 所以假設各種素質出現機率為9%
衝在 2攻捲5的粉披上
粉批攻擊能夠增加的機會,為+1 +2 +3 +4 +5,也就是約為45%
假設+1攻,則會變成3攻捲4粉批,市價約為2.5E至2.7E
假設+2攻,則會變成4攻捲4粉批,市價約為4.5E至 5E
假設+3攻,則會變成5攻捲4粉批,市價約為 7E↑
2攻粉批價格約為1.7E左右、渾沌捲約為4.3E左右,也就是說成本約為6E
簡單的說,如果沒有+3攻以上的話,衝這件粉批就是賠錢
也就是說,+3 +4 +5,這件粉批才有回本,機率不到30%
換成3攻捲5的粉批來討論,一樣增加的機會為45%
假設+1攻..... 4攻捲4
假設+2攻..... 5攻捲4
假設+3攻..... 6攻捲4
討論到+2攻左右的時候,成本大約是打平的,所以機率大概是40%
以此類推下去的話
4攻粉批.... 5攻粉批.... 用攻擊愈高的粉批,衝出來回本的機會愈大
當然前提是在衝的完的情況底下......
最後的提醒是.... 記住他是 『渾沌卷軸60%』
並不是百分之百過的 = =
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學弟阿,你的12攻粉批跟7攻楓心,真的是大戶才衝的出來的東西.....
幫學弟打個廣告 15463篇簡單學弟的交易文 (攤)
不過他應該看不到吧XDDDDDD
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楓之谷
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