期望值觀念 - 撲克牌
By Daph Bay
at 2009-12-05T08:15
at 2009-12-05T08:15
Table of Contents
假設
1.剩下三個人
2.每個人都剩下50BB
檯面上的牌 我的牌
Ad Kd 4s 5s 9d 8d
上上家Raise 5BB
上家call
檯面上共有17.5BB
那我可以假設最後一張是d(我贏機率約1:4)
我call用5BB 賭22.5BB 1:4.5
4.5>4
因此call這個絕對划算?
這種愚蠢的算法是對的嗎?
※ 編輯: KingHughes 來自: 219.130.75.142 (12/05 08:18)
1.剩下三個人
2.每個人都剩下50BB
檯面上的牌 我的牌
Ad Kd 4s 5s 9d 8d
上上家Raise 5BB
上家call
檯面上共有17.5BB
那我可以假設最後一張是d(我贏機率約1:4)
我call用5BB 賭22.5BB 1:4.5
4.5>4
因此call這個絕對划算?
這種愚蠢的算法是對的嗎?
※ 編輯: KingHughes 來自: 219.130.75.142 (12/05 08:18)
推 vinson:你的本金應該要扣掉所以是1:3.5吧,然後買到花的機率為9/46 12/05 08:22
推 eople:holdem可以 PLO就不一定 因為你買到很有可能不會贏 12/05 08:23
→ vinson:所以大概快兩成而已,至少要1:5以上比較OK 12/05 08:23
→ eople:本金算沈沒成本pot odds要算本金的話全部的draw幾乎都不划算 12/05 08:24
→ KingHughes:我是說holdem 繼續發問 12/05 08:29
→ KingHughes:這個觀念可以發揚光大嗎 12/05 08:29
→ KingHughes:假設了解解一切手牌的機率 因此用機率和期望值來決定 12/05 08:31
→ KingHughes:call or fold 是不是可以使用的? 12/05 08:31
推 eople:大家每天都在用 當然可以用 12/05 08:35
→ eople:這算是把牌打好的基礎 一些最基本的機率要背起來 12/05 08:36
→ eople:最困難的地方在基礎條件 對手的手牌 12/05 08:37
→ eople:見招拆招 我覺得你在draw 就給你不好的odds 12/05 08:39
→ eople:所以才會出現semibluff這種東西 然後無限loop 12/05 08:39
→ KingHughes:謝謝你幫我確認了這個觀念!!!!!!!! 12/05 08:44
→ KingHughes:順便請教有無網站提供pro的牌局的 12/05 08:45
→ KingHughes:原來小綠本semibluff是這個意涵 謝謝你 12/05 08:47
→ KingHughes:還有請教check-raise如果我check後所有人都check 12/05 08:49
→ KingHughes:那不就沒得raise了嗎？ 12/05 08:49
→ Aldousphyx:想要check raise本來就是期望有人hit到second best.. 12/05 08:55
→ Aldousphyx:不過check raise還是比較常發生在postflop or turn bet 12/05 08:58
→ Aldousphyx:也就是說 沒人掉入陷阱還是有一次raise的機會 12/05 08:59
→ Aldousphyx:river的check raise都是確認對手有hit到東西才會這樣做 12/05 09:05
推 Sane:原來如此 12/05 11:10
推 birdghost:check raise是一門藝術 12/05 11:21
推 chillin:牌不是太大 當check raise 被 cold call 是一種恐怖 ... 12/05 12:23
推 macassans:檯面上已經出現四張D了 所以最後一張是D事實上機率<1/4 12/05 12:26
推 lohsuan:<<<1/4 另外hit到了也不一定贏啊.. 12/05 18:53
推 Aldousphyx:pro的牌局可以找youtube..找high stake poker 12/06 19:27
→ Aldousphyx:不過比較可惜的是 很少有pro偷盲的片段.. 12/06 19:27
→ Aldousphyx:大部分都是有料牌局...cash game.. 12/06 19:28
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撲克牌
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