期望值的問題 - 撲克牌
By Aaliyah
at 2017-04-14T14:59
at 2017-04-14T14:59
Table of Contents
我是Poker完全新手
剛開始看小綠書 馬上遇到問題!
小綠書的範例如下:
若現在彩池賠率是(7500:2500)=3:1
計算出來的BEP為25%
需要有25%的勝率才能打平損益。若我有25%或更高的勝率，才call
但現在我用高中數學期望值的公式驗算這個答案
下注有25%機率贏得7500，也就是說這一手的期望值為7500*0.25=1875
問題就來了 這一手call我要付出2500的代價 卻只能拿到1875...
打樣打久了會輸光阿!
依照我的算法則要有33%的機率才能稍微打平(7500*0.33=2475)
請問我的想法是哪裡出現問題了呢?
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