是我太嫩還是他們打太好... - 撲克牌

※ 引述《lohsuan (打"因"該的都水桶)》之銘言：
: *********** # 26 **************
: PokerStars Game #59051624176: Tournament #368741705, $0.10+$0.00 USD Hold'em
: No Limit - Level IV (50/100) - 2011/03/11 20:33:06 ET
: Table '368741705 145' 9-max Seat #4 is the button
: Seat 1: willaj (3025 in chips)
: Seat 2: buzz1772 (3675 in chips)
: Seat 4: ME (1755 in chips)
: Seat 5: lisabonnet (1700 in chips)
: Seat 6: wrc525 (6160 in chips)
: Seat 7: milkosxronis (2300 in chips)
: Seat 8: inittoaceit (1500 in chips)
: Seat 9: lolopoulos (1940 in chips)
: lisabonnet: posts small blind 50
: wrc525: posts big blind 100
: *** HOLE CARDS ***
: Dealt to ME [As Js]
: marypk2 is connected
: milkosxronis: folds
: inittoaceit: calls 100
: lolopoulos: folds
: willaj: raises 200 to 300
: buzz1772 has timed out
: buzz1772: folds
: buzz1772 is sitting out
: ME: calls 300
: lisabonnet: raises 200 to 500
: wrc525: folds
: inittoaceit: folds
: willaj: calls 200
: ME: calls 200
: 在button拿AJs CO2先raise 我call SB re-raise 我又call
: *** FLOP *** [6h Jd Ts]
: lisabonnet: bets 400
: willaj: calls 400
: ME: calls 400
: flop到TPTK SB raise CO2和我都flat call
: *** TURN *** [6h Jd Ts] [9c]
: lisabonnet: bets 400
: willaj: raises 600 to 1000
: ME: folds
: lisabonnet: calls 400 and is all-in
: Uncalled bet (200) returned to willaj
: turn出來後我還是TPTK
: SB raise CO2 re-raise
: 這時我不知道怎麼辦了 就fold掉了...
: *** RIVER *** [6h Jd Ts 9c] [2c]
: *** SHOW DOWN ***
: lisabonnet: shows [Ad Qc] (high card Ace)
如果你看得到lisabonnet的牌，剩下44張牌有4*K + 4*8
有8/44機率你會輸給順子
有36/44你會嬴

如果看不到，在剩下看不見46張牌裡
對手已經組成順的機率：
7 8-----(4*4*2)/(46*45)
8 Q-----(4*4*2)/(46*45)
Q K-----(4*4*2)/(46*45)
總和 16/(23*15) .......約1/23


: willaj: shows [Tc Kd] (a pair of Tens)
: willaj collected 4500 from pot
: lisabonnet finished the tournament in 1233rd place
: 結果一個open end 一個gut shot+mid pair...

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