大家覺得ps5目前大禮包/黃牛的結局會是啥 - PS
By Callum
at 2022-03-20T19:56
at 2022-03-20T19:56
Table of Contents
※ 引述《wusbetz (我是白癡)》之銘言:
: PS5(其實對面的XBOX也差不多)
: 一上市就踩到疫情,開始各種產能不足
: 於是全球市場變相衍生了抬價黃牛
: 與經銷商大禮包的情境
: 對消費者而言的話
: 大概就分為
: 1.摸摸鼻子,反正也不差那點錢,先買先享受
: 2.喔反正我買了也沒時間玩,本來就買爽的,賭爛不買
: 這兩種狀況
: 無論上游報導說甚麼ps5前期銷量超越ps4之類的新聞
: 這個情況就是真真確確的現況
: 那再過幾年如果疫情穩定下來(無論是控制or共存)
: ps5產能回復正常,甚至直接推出ps5加強版
: 那現在這種黃牛/大禮包的現象會怎麼演變?
: 是會變成銷售端繼續掃蕩加強版主機強推大禮包
: 舊機型改用正常建議售價拋售?
: 還是消費者終於能夠買到正常建議售價的遊戲機呢?
: 大家怎麼看?
反正這個狀況遲早會改變,難道以為可以一直維持現狀下去?
看看NS、健身環跟動森就能知道大概最後結局是什麼情況
對還沒入手的玩家比較有利的狀況:
1.PS5 pro出來,且有大量到連黃牛也吃不完的貨源
如果這個狀況出現,黃牛手上的PS5打算打幾折?
賣出去的PS5的錢才是真的錢
如果有PS5 pro大量貨源,誰還想買二手且放過保固不知道放幾年的PS5?
但是我不覺得會出現這個狀況
2.PS5 pro出來,PS5 pro量少但是PS5的量慢慢正常化
但因為開始有了PS5 pro,黃牛改屯PS5 pro
並且沒買到PS5的人一定會改以pro為目標
這時候會釋出二手PS5的人就兩種:
a.屯PS5但打算改屯PS5 pro的黃牛
b.有PS5的玩家,但是打算換成PS5 pro
這時候就有機會撿到正常價錢或是二手價的PS5
至少今年應該沒機會看到PS5 pro(?)
3.PS5的量開始慢慢正常化
這時候黃牛如果想穩住現在對黃牛有利的市場,就得要繼續大量搶購
但是要考慮到手上的底有多少
如果索尼玩飢餓行銷,我看還要等個幾年
對黃牛有利的情況:
1.維持現狀
這個應該不用解釋了吧?
2.PS5 pro出來,但是貨源比現在的PS5還少
更棒,再炒一波新的更高的
以上這兩種情況都很有可能
另外,對索尼跟黃牛最傷的情況:
玩家跳槽到完全不缺貨源的主機
管你是NS、PC、XSX或是XSS,只要不缺就跳
XGP就是香、NS玩起來我也爽、steam就是讚
這樣以後索尼就可以專心賣其他3C惹
而且你有機會買到合理價格的PS5主機的機會也大增
法環各個平台都買得到,為了PS5的畫質多花點錢買?
大部分人都不是實況主,有這麼在意阿?
還是畫質不好的法環寧願不玩?
現在PS5這個奢侈品買的是身分地位榮譽感
就跟你女友老婆買愛馬仕一樣,明明其他包包也可以裝東西,但是感覺就是不一樣
--
: PS5(其實對面的XBOX也差不多)
: 一上市就踩到疫情,開始各種產能不足
: 於是全球市場變相衍生了抬價黃牛
: 與經銷商大禮包的情境
: 對消費者而言的話
: 大概就分為
: 1.摸摸鼻子,反正也不差那點錢,先買先享受
: 2.喔反正我買了也沒時間玩,本來就買爽的,賭爛不買
: 這兩種狀況
: 無論上游報導說甚麼ps5前期銷量超越ps4之類的新聞
: 這個情況就是真真確確的現況
: 那再過幾年如果疫情穩定下來(無論是控制or共存)
: ps5產能回復正常,甚至直接推出ps5加強版
: 那現在這種黃牛/大禮包的現象會怎麼演變?
: 是會變成銷售端繼續掃蕩加強版主機強推大禮包
: 舊機型改用正常建議售價拋售?
: 還是消費者終於能夠買到正常建議售價的遊戲機呢?
: 大家怎麼看?
反正這個狀況遲早會改變,難道以為可以一直維持現狀下去?
看看NS、健身環跟動森就能知道大概最後結局是什麼情況
對還沒入手的玩家比較有利的狀況:
1.PS5 pro出來,且有大量到連黃牛也吃不完的貨源
如果這個狀況出現,黃牛手上的PS5打算打幾折?
賣出去的PS5的錢才是真的錢
如果有PS5 pro大量貨源,誰還想買二手且放過保固不知道放幾年的PS5?
但是我不覺得會出現這個狀況
2.PS5 pro出來,PS5 pro量少但是PS5的量慢慢正常化
但因為開始有了PS5 pro,黃牛改屯PS5 pro
並且沒買到PS5的人一定會改以pro為目標
這時候會釋出二手PS5的人就兩種:
a.屯PS5但打算改屯PS5 pro的黃牛
b.有PS5的玩家,但是打算換成PS5 pro
這時候就有機會撿到正常價錢或是二手價的PS5
至少今年應該沒機會看到PS5 pro(?)
3.PS5的量開始慢慢正常化
這時候黃牛如果想穩住現在對黃牛有利的市場,就得要繼續大量搶購
但是要考慮到手上的底有多少
如果索尼玩飢餓行銷,我看還要等個幾年
對黃牛有利的情況:
1.維持現狀
這個應該不用解釋了吧?
2.PS5 pro出來,但是貨源比現在的PS5還少
更棒,再炒一波新的更高的
以上這兩種情況都很有可能
另外,對索尼跟黃牛最傷的情況:
玩家跳槽到完全不缺貨源的主機
管你是NS、PC、XSX或是XSS,只要不缺就跳
XGP就是香、NS玩起來我也爽、steam就是讚
這樣以後索尼就可以專心賣其他3C惹
而且你有機會買到合理價格的PS5主機的機會也大增
法環各個平台都買得到,為了PS5的畫質多花點錢買?
大部分人都不是實況主,有這麼在意阿?
還是畫質不好的法環寧願不玩?
現在PS5這個奢侈品買的是身分地位榮譽感
就跟你女友老婆買愛馬仕一樣,明明其他包包也可以裝東西,但是感覺就是不一樣
--
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