圍棋規則改這樣如何?(黑白勝率探討) - 圍棋
By Ingrid
at 2018-12-26T17:18
at 2018-12-26T17:18
Table of Contents
有很多網友提到,黑棋貼7.5目勝率統計是48%還可以接受,不過我查到的資料,數據幾乎
都是五年前的統計,跟近兩年情況可能已經不一樣。
何況就算真的在近2年在電腦輔助下(尤其是Leela等超人程式人人可用之後),執黑勝率
仍是48% < 50%,仍必須承認執白較佔優,何況黑白棋明顯佈局是不一樣的。
而且還有個體差異,有些人就是比較會下白(比如柯潔,白棋勝率高很多)、有些人就是
比較會下黑(比如我,可能黑貼8.5目都愛黑。),因此一盤決勝負(或3、5、7盤也一樣)
,都會有抽籤的運氣問題。
然後我查了一下gorating目前排名前十的高手,他們近十盤的輸贏狀況(共100盤),發現
了改革刻不容緩的事實!
這十個人近十盤裡面,黑贏23次、輸25次;白贏42次、輸10次,也就是執黑勝率47.9%、
執白勝率80.8%!黑白嚴重影響公平性!
--
都是五年前的統計,跟近兩年情況可能已經不一樣。
何況就算真的在近2年在電腦輔助下(尤其是Leela等超人程式人人可用之後),執黑勝率
仍是48% < 50%,仍必須承認執白較佔優,何況黑白棋明顯佈局是不一樣的。
而且還有個體差異,有些人就是比較會下白(比如柯潔,白棋勝率高很多)、有些人就是
比較會下黑(比如我,可能黑貼8.5目都愛黑。),因此一盤決勝負(或3、5、7盤也一樣)
,都會有抽籤的運氣問題。
然後我查了一下gorating目前排名前十的高手,他們近十盤的輸贏狀況(共100盤),發現
了改革刻不容緩的事實!
這十個人近十盤裡面,黑贏23次、輸25次;白贏42次、輸10次,也就是執黑勝率47.9%、
執白勝率80.8%!黑白嚴重影響公平性!
--
Tags:
圍棋
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