2021 大師職業賽S1 亞太區戰況分析 - 爐石戰記

By Zanna
at 2021-05-24T04:30
at 2021-05-24T04:30
Table of Contents
目前積分如下 剩下一周征服制
blitzchung 15
glory 15
Alutemu 13
Posesi 12
撒旦降臨 12
Alan870806 12
Shaxy 12
TIZS 12
Bankyugi 12
--------------------------- 以上已經不會被淘汰
Surrender 9
che0nsu 9
DawN 8
Hi3 7
lambyseries 7
tom60229 6
--------------------------- 以下已經被淘汰
Tyler 1
所以現在就是中間這六個人會被淘汰三個
機率分別是
Surrender 19%
che0nsu 27%
DawN 31%
Hi3 66%
lambyseries 72%
tom60229 85%
由於還不知道下周的分組 所以底下就先不考慮分組來分析大哥活下來的15%
tom下周冠軍: 11分
----------------
由於其他人都沒有冠軍過 所以tom唯一會被淘汰的情形是 DawN 亞軍拿12分超過tom
其他不管甚麼情形都至少會有3個排名低於tom
tom下周亞軍: 10分
----------------
需要其他5人有3人不會到達11分
而其中DaWN拿過亞軍跟八強 所以如果已經有2人11分他10分tom一樣淘汰
這部分排列組合比較多種
tom下周四強: 9分
---------------
很凶險 需要其他5人有3人不會到達10分
也就是Surrender che0nsu DawN 0分 / lambyseries 2分以下 / Hi3 1分以下
至少還有機會活
tom下周八強或以下: 8~6分
----------------
人沒了
--
blitzchung 15
glory 15
Alutemu 13
Posesi 12
撒旦降臨 12
Alan870806 12
Shaxy 12
TIZS 12
Bankyugi 12
--------------------------- 以上已經不會被淘汰
Surrender 9
che0nsu 9
DawN 8
Hi3 7
lambyseries 7
tom60229 6
--------------------------- 以下已經被淘汰
Tyler 1
所以現在就是中間這六個人會被淘汰三個
機率分別是
Surrender 19%
che0nsu 27%
DawN 31%
Hi3 66%
lambyseries 72%
tom60229 85%
由於還不知道下周的分組 所以底下就先不考慮分組來分析大哥活下來的15%
tom下周冠軍: 11分
----------------
由於其他人都沒有冠軍過 所以tom唯一會被淘汰的情形是 DawN 亞軍拿12分超過tom
其他不管甚麼情形都至少會有3個排名低於tom
tom下周亞軍: 10分
----------------
需要其他5人有3人不會到達11分
而其中DaWN拿過亞軍跟八強 所以如果已經有2人11分他10分tom一樣淘汰
這部分排列組合比較多種
tom下周四強: 9分
---------------
很凶險 需要其他5人有3人不會到達10分
也就是Surrender che0nsu DawN 0分 / lambyseries 2分以下 / Hi3 1分以下
至少還有機會活
tom下周八強或以下: 8~6分
----------------
人沒了
--
Tags:
爐石
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